Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 35.92 | $0.979 | $35.26 | +$0.09 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 30.85 | $0.995 | $30.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 19 |
| $0.920 |
| $17.77 |
| +$0.29 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.55 | +$0.65 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 57.39 | $0.461 | $9.47 | -$17 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.85 | $0.045 | $2.53 | +$0.74 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.120 | $1.65 | -$1.95 |
 Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 119.99 | $0.076 | $0.84 | -$8.28 |
| buy |
| 98.93 |
| $0.993 |
| $98.24 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | buy | 35.92 | $0.979 | $35.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.989 | $22.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | May 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.986 | $15.78 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.984 | $56.09 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.958 | $33.53 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.470 | $3.47 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?No | buy | 41.27 | $0.993 | $40.98 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?Yes | buy | 71.96 | $0.026 | $1.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 42.31 | $0.961 | $40.66 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 38.91 | $0.962 | $37.42 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.987 | $30.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.703 | $14.06 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.080 | $2.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 575.11 | $0.190 | $109.27 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.966 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 48.85 | $0.994 | $48.56 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 39.85 | $0.045 | $1.79 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 19.81 | $0.989 | $19.59 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.975 | $12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 38 | $0.997 | $37.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 23.16 | $0.989 | $22.91 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.110 | $143 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | sell | 108.85 | $0.996 | $108.41 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.001 | $1.36 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.998 | $13 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.997 | $19 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | buy | 119.85 | $0.977 | $117.09 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 757.04 | $0.002 | $1.51 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 21.49 | $0.977 | $21 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.990 | $20.79 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 771.17 | $0.002 | $1.54 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 24.47 | $0.995 | $24.35 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.940 | $14 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 11.06 | $0.890 | $9.84 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.001 | $1.13 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | buy | 17.58 | $0.910 | $16 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.960 | $21 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?Yes | buy | 19.14 | $0.993 | $19 | Jul 20, 2025 |