Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 1.3% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2026. $1.94M traded over the market's life.
307 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 1.3% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keasiyo | Yes | 150K |
| Qualified-Flag | Yes | 117.13K |
| Time. | Yes | 30K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
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| xiuchuan- | Yes | 20.47K |
| Darkpple999 | Yes | 18.26K |
| MYP.1107 | Yes | 17.64K |
| KnureKnume | Yes | 16.13K |
| Adiante | Yes | 15.61K |
| Awesome-Raspberry | Yes | 12.5K |
| shmams | Yes | 12.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
