Analytics
sludgelife has made $173.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 100 | $0.720 | $35 | -$37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 13:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 23:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 23:55 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 13:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $741.7 and losing ones cost $387.54 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $358.6 on “Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?” (No); the largest loss, $195.6 on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 387 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.04K across 99 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?| No |
| 42.39 |
| $0.831 |
| $31.37 |
| -$3.85 |
 Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 44 | $0.625 | $25.52 | -$1.98 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.31 | $0.760 | $25.13 | +$5.13 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | No | 24.37 | $0.820 | $20.35 | +$0.36 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 21.5 | $0.930 | $20.1 | +$0.11 |
 Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 20.63 | $0.970 | $19.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.07 | $0.950 | $19.8 | -$0.21 |
 Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? | No | 22.2 | $0.900 | $19.76 | -$0.22 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.59 | $0.930 | $19.76 | -$0.32 |
 Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes | 22 | $0.850 | $19.69 | +$0.99 |
 Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | 21.13 | $0.944 | $19.66 | -$0.28 |
 Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 21.01 | $0.950 | $19.54 | -$0.42 |
 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 21.5 | $0.930 | $19.35 | -$0.65 |
 Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 20.14 | $0.982 | $18.9 | -$0.88 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 20.81 | $0.957 | $18.27 | -$1.64 |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 20.9 | $0.956 | $18.14 | -$1.85 |
 Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.07 | $0.640 | $18.11 | +$0.13 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 18.28 | $0.967 | $17.14 | -$0.55 |
 Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch? | No | 20.07 | $0.997 | $16.84 | -$3.16 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 21.63 | $0.921 | $16.09 | -$3.83 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 21.31 | $0.902 | $15.79 | -$3.43 |
 City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? | No | 23.59 | $0.848 | $15.34 | -$4.66 |
 Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 16.57 | $0.920 | $15.33 | +$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.45 | $0.840 | $15.32 | -$0.18 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
