Analytics
Yes is at 46.5%, down 3.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 115 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 22% on 30 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 63%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Arch Network launch a token by ___?”.
$165 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.63K since listing. The order book holds $310.45, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 102 trades, $589.58 bought Yes and $360.98 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 425 shares; the largest No position is Beyonddream with 86. Ten wallets hold 91.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 46.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 425.21 |
| Beyonddream | No | 85.92 |
| leichil | No | 81.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-arch-network-launch-a-token-by
| yetiyetiyeti |
| No |
| 80 |
| Malganis | No | 60.71 |
| Carabao | No | 30 |
| CZ667 | No | 30 |
| sludgelife | No | 28.07 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 24.59 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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