Analytics
Yes is at 59.5%, up 9.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 18% on 7 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53%; a month before, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 50.5% on 9 Jul 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Arch Network launch a token by ___?”.
$180.52 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.23K since listing. The order book holds $281.29, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $263.9 bought Yes and $191.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cigarettes with 62 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 207.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 206.75 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 61.9 |
| edge999 | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-arch-network-launch-a-token-by
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| Malganis | Yes | 28.04 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 15 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | No | 11 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 9 |
| YotamF | Yes | 9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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