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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.520 | $23.25 | -$2.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 8h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.540 |
| $19 |
| -$2.6 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.780 | $16.8 | -$14.4 |
 Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | Lockheed Martin | 50 | $0.580 | $16.5 | -$12.5 |
 Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 40 | $0.400 | $15.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $12.8 | -$0.6 |
 Will Export-control chip security become law this year? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $12.3 | -$0.5 |
 Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.440 | $11.7 | -$1.5 |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | $0.280 | $11 | -$0.2 |
 Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $10.8 | -$1.6 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000? | No | 20 | $0.560 | $9.6 | -$1.6 |
 California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions? | Yes | 20 | $0.410 | $8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Kansas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 19.68 | $0.410 | $6.2 | -$1.87 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | $0.380 | $5.9 | -$1.7 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.200 | $5.4 | -$2.6 |
 Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.97 | $0.330 | $5.24 | -$1.68 |
| Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | No | 9.85 | $0.450 | $4.53 | +$0.1 |
 Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
 Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.320 | $2.86 | -$0.05 |
 Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 20 | $0.270 | $2.5 | -$2.9 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.360 | $1 | -$6.2 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.200 |
| $4 |
| 9h ago |
 Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.700 | $3.61 | 11h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026?Yes | sell | 29.8 | $0.100 | $2.98 | 12h ago |
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Yes | sell | 9.78 | $0.340 | $3.33 | 12h ago |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 19.84 | $0.620 | $12.3 | 13h ago |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?No | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | 13h ago |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | 13h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 1d ago |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 2d ago |
 Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.280 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.270 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Fresno State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 2d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 2d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.400 | $2.04 | 2d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.114 | $6.84 | 3d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.114 | $6.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 3d ago |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.040 | $6.6 | 3d ago |
 Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | 3d ago |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 3d ago |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 5d ago |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?No | sell | 6.7 | $0.670 | $4.49 | 5d ago |
 Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 5d ago |
 Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 6d ago |
 Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 6d ago |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 6d ago |
 Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | 6d ago |
 Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.810 | $1.17 | 6d ago |
 Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.520 | $0.14 | 6d ago |
| Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.830 | $8.29 | 6d ago |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | 6d ago |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | sell | 43.06 | $0.570 | $24.54 | 6d ago |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.580 | $4.03 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 7d ago |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 19.73 | $0.550 | $10.85 | 7d ago |
 Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | 7d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.19 | $0.630 | $5.79 | 7d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 7d ago |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 8d ago |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 8d ago |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 8d ago |
