Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, up 14 points from 37% when the market opened on 19 Sep 2026.
Across the 32 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44%; a month before, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 23.5% on 23 Sep 2026.
A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026”, ahead of I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen) at 41%.
$18 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.8K since listing. The order book holds $116.84, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 115 trades, $519.66 bought Yes and $1.13K bought No.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 554 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 777. Ten wallets hold 89.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Nov 2026, 22 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 19 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 37.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 776.94 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 554.04 |
| Arpadex | Yes | 140 |
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cma-musical-event-of-the-year-2026
| Anjun |
| No |
| 110.99 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 105.96 |
| lissartter | Yes | 53.94 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50 |
| sludgelife | No | 44 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 39.55 |
| Bright Horizon B200 | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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