What is the “Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 2.8¢ and No at 97.3¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.8% for Yes and 97.3% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($23.67K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($15.69K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 70 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 82.5% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 4, 6:32 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-trump-pardon-do-kwon-before-2027Updated 1m ago

politicsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCsbfsam-bankman-freid

Yes

2.8%

97.3%

Buy Yes 2.75¢Buy No 97.25¢

24h Volume

$23.7K

Liquidity

$15.7K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

2.75¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

2.8%

97.3%

24h volume

$23.67K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 2.75¢

Open in terminal$23.67K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.5%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

2.8%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

82%

Yes / No shares

5.97K / 5.97K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

408

Wallets

129

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Silver Pioneer 645C	sell	No	97.0%	5.12	Sep 27, 6:53 AM UTC
Silver Pioneer 645C	buy	No

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Trump and the White House oddsWill Trump be impeached?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 2.8¢ and No at 97.3¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.8% for Yes and 97.3% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($23.67K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($15.69K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

Silver Pioneer 645C

sell

97.0%

5.12

Sep 27, 6:53 AM UTC

Silver Pioneer 645C

buy