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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? | No | 48.91 | $0.917 | $43.46 | -$1.39 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.290 | $1.48 | 4h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 42.67 |
| $0.930 |
| $39.68 |
| $0 |
 Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $37.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will Taylor Brown come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? | No | 50.01 | $0.971 | $35.31 | -$13.25 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.830 | $32.25 | -$9.25 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | Yes | 50 | $0.450 | $21.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | No | 50 | $0.400 | $19.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.490 | $19 | -$5.5 |
 Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | Yes | 34.8 | $0.480 | $16.53 | -$0.17 |
 Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? | Yes | 50 | $0.430 | $15.75 | -$5.75 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 50 | $0.320 | $14.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 50 | $0.370 | $13.25 | -$5.25 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 50 | $0.290 | $12.25 | -$2.25 |
 Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | No | 50 | $0.318 | $11.75 | -$4.15 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? | Yes | 50 | $0.280 | $11.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.223 | $11.13 | -$0.02 |
| Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | Yes | 39.78 | $0.270 | $10.54 | -$0.2 |
 Will Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season? | Yes | 24.13 | $0.220 | $10.38 | +$5.07 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | Yes | 50 | $0.204 | $10.15 | -$0.05 |
 Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 45 | $0.340 | $10.13 | -$5.17 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 50 | $0.220 | $9.78 | -$1.23 |
 Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.290 | $9.45 | -$5.05 |
 Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 23 | $0.440 | $8.4 | -$1.72 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.220 | $7.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.590 | $7.43 | -$19.13 |
| sell |
| 5.11 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.69 |
| 4h ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.240 | $0 | 7h ago |
 Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?No | sell | 40.08 | $0.116 | $4.67 | 13h ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.041 | $1.07 | 20h ago |
| Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.250 | $0 | 22h ago |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.280 | $0 | 22h ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | 1d ago |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?No | sell | 5 | $0.078 | $0.39 | 1d ago |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.083 | $4.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.255 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.640 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.250 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?No | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.946 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.145 | $2.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the CAQ win 25-29 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.180 | $0 | 2d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.122 | $6.1 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.270 | $0 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.280 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.370 | $0 | 2d ago |
 Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.570 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.137 | $0 | 2d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.079 | $0 | 3d ago |
 Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.068 | $3.4 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.219 | $10.95 | 3d ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.093 | $0 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.190 | $0 | 3d ago |
 Will LYON Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?No | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | 3d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.390 | $0 | 3d ago |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $400B by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.020 | $0.8 | 3d ago |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?No | sell | 9.91 | $0.027 | $0.27 | 4d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.932 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.143 | $4.29 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.182 | $9.1 | 4d ago |
 Will Sentinels Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.031 | $0.31 | 5d ago |
 Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.099 | $1.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.085 | $1.7 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.1 | $0.081 | $1.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.283 | $0 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.202 | $20.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Sentinels Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | 6d ago |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.034 | $1.7 | 6d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.111 | $0 | 6d ago |