Analytics
Yes is at 4.4%, down 16 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 28 Mar 2026.
Across the 190 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 4.7%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 8% on 29 Apr 2026.
Caleb Williams ranks sixth of the 29 outcomes in “Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner”. Josh Allen leads at 34.5%; Brock Purdy is at 18.1%.
$2.34K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $142.61K since listing. The order book holds $12.16K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.36K bought Yes and $58.85K bought No; the largest was a $19.13K buy of No at 95.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Swift Maven 1848 with 45.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 26.8K. Ten wallets hold 87.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 20.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 45.13K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.83K |
| termsandcondition | No | 20.03K |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner
17 more outcomes, none above 1.1%.
| catalanpaths | Yes | 10K |
| 4qfrankie | No | 6.14K |
| Hyperlong | No | 6.04K |
| aliaspopeye | Yes | 4.72K |
| piratesfan1313 | No | 2.59K |
| mlobinho00 | Yes | 2.23K |
| cryplor | No | 2.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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