Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.04 | $0.953 | $2.03 | +$0.09 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.945 | $1.64 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.99 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.99 |
| +$0.1 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 2 | $0.930 | $1.94 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 1.93 | $0.959 | $1.88 | +$0.03 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? | No | 1.94 | $0.930 | $1.76 | -$0.04 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1.87 | $0.936 | $1.74 | -$0.01 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 1.88 | $0.930 | $1.74 | -$0.01 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.74 | $0.945 | $1.63 | -$0.01 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 131.25 | $0.008 | $0.2 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 1.87 |
| $0.936 |
| $1.75 |
| 4h ago |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.930 | $1.75 | 4h ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.930 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.959 | $1.85 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.950 | $1.63 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.940 | $1.63 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.940 | $1.68 | 3d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.952 | $1.73 | 3d ago |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.940 | $1.78 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.959 | $1.67 | 6d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.959 | $1.72 | 6d ago |
 Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.947 | $1.77 | 7d ago |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.950 | $1.83 | 7d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.950 | $1.89 | 7d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.941 | $1.85 | 8d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.948 | $1.46 | 9d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.930 | $1.51 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.958 | $1.56 | 9d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.930 | $1.45 | 12d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.952 | $1.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.955 | $1.54 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.954 | $1.53 | 19d ago |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.939 | $1.58 | 19d ago |
 Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.957 | $1.63 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.940 | $1.73 | 20d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.919 | $1.73 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.930 | $1.79 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 19?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.953 | $1.74 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.940 | $1.79 | 24d ago |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.950 | $1.37 | 28d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.950 | $1.31 | 28d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.940 | $1.35 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.930 | $1.34 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.940 | $1.34 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.950 | $1.38 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.930 | $1.43 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.940 | $1.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.959 | $1.46 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.940 | $1.51 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.942 | $1.55 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.957 | $1.56 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.940 | $1.66 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.950 | $1.66 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.870 | $1.45 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.950 | $1.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.950 | $1.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |