Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, down 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 22 Jul 2026.
The high was 50% on 22 Jul 2026 and the low 2.6% on 11 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.8%; a month ago, 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 23 Jul 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$1.66K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.31K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $13.02 bought Yes and $694.23 bought No.
The largest Yes position is bond007200 with 132 shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 131.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 9:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 83 points · 22 Jul 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bond007200 | Yes | 131.9 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 130.8 |
| KongKenta | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 43.99 |
| elmcap2 | No | 39.35 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 39.08 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| martinest | Yes | 16.75 |
| Lolly99 | Yes | 12.5 |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright | Yes | 6.79 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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