Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 46 points from 49% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
The high was 59.5% on 8 Dec 2025 and the low 3.1% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.1%; a month ago, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 52.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$1.85K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.91K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $24.47 bought Yes and $990.22 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 180 shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 579. Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 11:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 316 points · 19 Nov 2025 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| allenzzz | No | 579.04 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 179.99 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 163 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| arbdiscovery |
| No |
| 111.18 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 80 |
| AJSV | Yes | 46.64 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 43.74 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 40 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 40 |
| shiifoo | No | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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