Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.220 | $1.06 | +$0.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.6 |
| $0.228 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.24 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.180 | $0.77 | +$0.33 |
 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 499.33 | $0.002 | $0.75 | -$0.42 |
 Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.060 | $0.68 | +$0.08 |
 Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026? | Yes | 10.36 | $0.154 | $0.64 | -$0.96 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.379 | $0.62 | -$6.96 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.5B by December 31? | Yes | 1 | $0.300 | $0.62 | +$0.32 |
 Will State Bank of India be the largest Indian company? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.132 | $0.61 | -$1.45 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 2 | $0.330 | $0.57 | -$0.09 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MD-08 House seat? | Yes | 14.12 | $0.090 | $0.52 | -$0.76 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 0.92 | $0.700 | $0.5 | -$0.15 |
 Will UBS fail by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.92 | $0.024 | $0.48 | -$0.36 |
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 0.5 | $0.795 | $0.47 | +$0.08 |
 Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $0.45 | -$1.95 |
 Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 26.75 | $0.138 | $0.43 | -$3.25 |
 Will Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | Yes | 20 | $0.173 | $0.42 | -$3.04 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.2 | $0.116 | $0.42 | +$0.16 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.43 | $0.111 | $0.41 | +$0.03 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 2 | $0.350 | $0.35 | -$0.35 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.119 | $0.34 | +$0.07 |
 Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.83 | $0.220 | $0.33 | -$1.17 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.240 | $0.33 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? | No | 0.36 | $0.780 | $0.32 | +$0.04 |
 Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 19.83 | $0.080 | $0.31 | -$1.28 |
| sell |
| 13.3 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.05 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.160 | $0.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.270 | $0.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.790 | $0.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.020 | $0.22 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.100 | $0.52 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Yes | sell | 50.82 | $0.011 | $0.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.3%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.221 | $0.57 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.117 | $0.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.250 | $0.57 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.102 | $0.51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?No | sell | 0.66 | $0.946 | $0.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.080 | $0.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.033 | $0.66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.100 | $0.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.103 | $0.23 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.250 | $0.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.930 | $0.71 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.160 | $0.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.991 | $0.71 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.199 | $0.71 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.026 | $0.52 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.730 | $0.73 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.542 | $0.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.216 | $0.45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.290 | $0.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes | sell | 38.88 | $0.010 | $0.39 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Michigan have the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.130 | $0.42 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.050 | $0.75 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.420 | $0.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.310 | $0.66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 35.69 | $0.020 | $0.7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 49.87 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the US lose jobs in July?Yes | sell | 355.67 | $0.027 | $9.61 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.785 | $0.79 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.840 | $0.83 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | sell | 15.16 | $0.008 | $0.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.860 | $0.84 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.021 | $0.84 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?No | sell | 0.92 | $0.920 | $0.85 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.450 | $0.86 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.572 | $0.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |