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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 0.76 | $0.780 | $0.68 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.040 | $0.04 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.92 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.06 |
| -$0.01 |
 Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 0.83 | $0.080 | $0.06 | -$0.01 |
 Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September? | Yes | 0.62 | $0.020 | $0.05 | +$0.04 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.140 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.050 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? | Yes | 0.35 | $0.070 | $0.03 | +$0 |
 Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.001 | $0.03 | +$0.02 |
 Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.001 | $0.03 | +$0.02 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 10 | $0.003 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
 Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.084 | $0.01 | -$0.07 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.001 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | +$0 |
 Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.016 | $0.01 | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 0.79 | $0.021 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.010 | $0.01 | -$0.1 |
 Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.020 | $0.01 | -$0.2 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.020 | $0.01 | -$0.2 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.010 | $0.01 | -$0.1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.010 | $0.01 | -$0.1 |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 8.94 | $0.001 | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 5 | $0.001 | $0 | -$0 |
 Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.001 | $0 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.056 |
| $0.06 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.303 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.016 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.002 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.052 | $0.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.110 | $0.14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.080 | $0.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.081 | $0.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.300 | $0.43 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.67 | $0.043 | $0.07 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.070 | $0.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.140 | $0.24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.090 | $0.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.040 | $0.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.450 | $0.94 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.060 | $0.13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.178 | $0.39 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.060 | $0.14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.059 | $0.14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.002 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.170 | $0.43 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.023 | $0.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 2.65 | $0.021 | $0.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.96 | $0.090 | $0.27 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Exodus win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.02 | $0.170 | $0.51 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.200 | $0.61 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.060 | $0.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.070 | $0.22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.150 | $0.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Doja Cat be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.015 | $0.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.56 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.150 | $0.56 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.030 | $0.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3.72 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.040 | $0.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.041 | $0.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.270 | $1.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?No | sell | 3.88 | $0.059 | $0.23 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 3.97 | $0.090 | $0.36 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.400 | $1.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |