What is the “Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 5.5¢ and No at 94.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 5.5% for Yes and 94.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($1.27K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($11.84K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 133 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 65.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 28, 8:44 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31Updated 1m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCsolanacrypto-prices

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

24h Volume

$1.3K

Liquidity

$11.8K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

5.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

24h volume

$1.27K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 5.5¢

Open in terminal$1.27K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

1.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

5.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

133

Wallets

133

Top 10 share

66%

Yes / No shares

45.34K / 45.34K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

230

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
amis	No	11K	92.0%	$11K	Sep 10, 6:08 PM UTC
-Mr-Meeseeks	Yes	10.75K	19.9%	$10.75K	Jun 1, 6:02 AM UTC

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 5.5¢ and No at 94.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 5.5% for Yes and 94.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($1.27K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($11.84K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

amis

11K

92.0%

$11K

Sep 10, 6:08 PM UTC

-Mr-Meeseeks

Yes

10.75K

19.9%

$10.75K

Jun 1, 6:02 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
amis	$10.39K
4751346	$9.51K
DEGENKHAN	$4.22K
BuyerOfNo	$3.78K
Jfownsk	$2.63K
MaxEnt	$2.5K
Rich-Try	$2.38K
Elias.Thornwell	$2.04K
Legacy.crypto	$2.02K
gydmasg	$720.48
cryptopred	$614.25
-Mr-Meeseeks	$591.25