Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 145.96 | $0.700 | $132.09 | +$29.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.390 | $3.33 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 110.68 |
| $0.710 |
| $74.71 |
| -$3.87 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 46.34 | $0.790 | $39.39 | +$2.78 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 39.88 | $0.468 | $34.5 | +$15.84 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 45.26 | $0.800 | $27.83 | -$8.37 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | No | 40.83 | $0.680 | $25.11 | -$2.65 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 24.84 | $0.810 | $21.24 | +$1.12 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.69 | $0.760 | $19.63 | +$2.38 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | 21.16 | $0.850 | $19.57 | +$1.59 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | No | 28.75 | $0.620 | $19.26 | +$1.44 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 18.69 | $0.770 | $18.1 | +$3.71 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 17.68 | $0.857 | $16.18 | +$1.03 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 17.03 | $0.920 | $14.73 | -$0.94 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 13.79 | $0.730 | $13.62 | +$3.55 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 14.36 | $0.876 | $13.21 | +$0.62 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.61 | $0.680 | $13.17 | +$3.92 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 17.32 | $0.660 | $13.08 | +$1.65 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 15.27 | $0.660 | $12.9 | +$2.82 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.81 | $0.710 | $12.66 | +$2.15 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 16.82 | $0.700 | $12.28 | +$0.5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.58 | $0.800 | $11.89 | +$1.82 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.83 | $0.840 | $11.73 | +$1.79 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 24.13 | $0.500 | $11.7 | -$0.36 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 12.27 | $0.815 | $11.47 | +$1.47 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 13.25 | $0.760 | $11.46 | +$1.39 |
| buy |
| 19.9 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.99 |
| 8h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.100 | $1.99 | 10h ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 11h ago |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.012 | $0.26 | 12h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.738 | $5.25 | 16h ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.080 | $1.99 | 16h ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.1 | $0.071 | $2 | 16h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | 18h ago |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.092 | $2 | 19h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.43 | $0.070 | $1.99 | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.024 | $0.48 | 20h ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?No | buy | 28.43 | $0.070 | $1.99 | 21h ago |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 14.05 | $0.285 | $4 | 2d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.75 | $0.040 | $1.99 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | sell | 19.89 | $0.012 | $0.24 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 22.02 | $0.460 | $10.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.100 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.43 | $0.060 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | buy | 19.9 | $0.100 | $1.99 | 4d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.080 | $1.99 | 4d ago |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.100 | $1.99 | 4d ago |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No | buy | 42.45 | $0.047 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 9.36 | $0.880 | $8.24 | 4d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.81 | $0.570 | $12.43 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.520 | $11.45 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.81 | $0.590 | $12.87 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 28.42 | $0.007 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.012 | $0.24 | 5d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.63 | $0.092 | $1.99 | 5d ago |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.080 | $1.99 | 5d ago |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 16.37 | $0.791 | $12.95 | 6d ago |
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.005 | $0.02 | 6d ago |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.096 | $0.48 | 6d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 16.82 | $0.700 | $11.77 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.002 | $0.03 | 6d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.099 | $1.99 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.100 | $1.99 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 35.54 | $0.056 | $1.99 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.100 | $0.53 | 7d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.098 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?No | buy | 28.75 | $0.620 | $17.83 | 7d ago |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 28.43 | $0.070 | $1.99 | 8d ago |