Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 12 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 29 Apr 2026.
Across the 177 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.7%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 21.5% on 1 Jun 2026.
$3.68 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $276.66K since listing. The order book holds $24.78K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.19K bought Yes and $28.89K bought No; the largest was a $5.27K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is -Mr-Meeseeks with 10.7K shares; the largest No position is amis with 16.5K. Ten wallets hold 68.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 11:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 13.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| amis | No | 16.49K |
| -Mr-Meeseeks | Yes | 10.75K |
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 9.42K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31
| 4751346 |
| No |
| 9.14K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 6.74K |
| Kyoraku | No | 4.57K |
| Cait37 | No | 4.43K |
| canyonboy | Yes | 2.6K |
| AK4747 | Yes | 2.55K |
| Rich-Try | No | 2.52K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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