
Yes is at 90%, up 14 points from 76% when the market opened on 25 Sep 2026.
The high was 90.5% on 28 Sep 2026 and the low 76% on 25 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 85%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 90.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
Republicans is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Which party will win white voters in the midterms?”, ahead of Democrats at 9.5%.
$12.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.69K since listing. The order book holds $30.55K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 287 trades, $12.82K bought Yes and $597.81 bought No; the largest was a $7.1K buy of Yes at 82.1¢.
The largest Yes position is Stonktrader with 8.6K shares; the largest No position is 74-75 with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 10:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 25 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 76.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 90.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stonktrader | Yes | 8.65K |
| 74-75 | No | 2.63K |
| vinii | No | 2.31K |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-midterms
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 2.07K |
| longdated-poli | No | 664.48 |
| DerDon | Yes | 500 |
| MARW-2026-Piotr | No | 300 |
| Cobalt Raven 0F87 | Yes | 276.33 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 263.79 |
| thor666 | No | 263.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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