Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 38 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 25 Sep 2026.
Across the 28 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 14% on 26 Sep 2026.
Democrats ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Which party will win white voters in the midterms?”. Republicans leads at 94.5%.
$901.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.36K since listing. The order book holds $49K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 246 trades, $425.86 bought Yes and $2.7K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Friday with 975 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 86.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 16 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 25 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 43.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.82K |
| Friday | Yes | 974.61 |
| anoin123 | No | 525.22 |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-midterms
| tescat |
| Yes |
| 507.51 |
| Perypery | Yes | 250 |
| sweetj | Yes | 230 |
| vinii | Yes | 181.87 |
| AJSV | Yes | 175.81 |
| adasol | Yes | 156.45 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 114 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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