Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.690 | $183 | +$45 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 3, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.630 |
| $149 |
| +$23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.440 | $105 | +$17 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.570 | $84.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.360 | $57 | -$15 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.870 | $46.25 | +$2.75 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50 | $0.590 | $36.75 | +$7.25 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 30 | $0.732 | $25.67 | +$3.71 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.740 | $19 | -$129 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.352 | $15.07 | +$4.51 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.216 | $8.43 | -$2.38 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30 | $0.247 | $4.34 | -$3.08 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.230 | $1.08 | -$10.43 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.917 |
| $183.4 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.174 | $34.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.833 | $83.28 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.906 | $45.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?No | buy | 200.32 | $0.998 | $200 | May 19, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 22?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.945 | $5.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 22?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?Yes | buy | 12.31 | $0.975 | $12 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 29?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 28?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 28?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 23?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 21?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 13?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 13?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 13?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.878 | $2 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Bills vs. JetsBills | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Bills vs. JetsBills | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Nationals vs. MarinersNationals | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 29, 2025 |
| Yankees vs. AngelsYankees | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |