Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | Yes | 50 | $0.850 | $43 | +$0.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 4d ago |
 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?| No |
| 50 |
| $0.820 |
| $40.25 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 50 | $0.830 | $40.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $40 | -$2 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.791 | $39.5 | -$0.04 |
 Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.830 | $38.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $38.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $37.75 | -$1.25 |
 Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.730 | $36.75 | +$0.25 |
 Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election? | Yes | 40 | $0.870 | $35 | +$0.2 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.870 | $35 | +$0.2 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.740 | $34.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 50 | $0.740 | $34.1 | -$2.9 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 39.99 | $0.870 | $32.99 | -$1.8 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.721 | $32.6 | -$3.45 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.830 | $32.6 | -$0.6 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $32.25 | -$11.75 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 52.72 | $0.753 | $30.84 | -$8.84 |
 Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? | Yes | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | $0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.44 | $0.740 | $28.92 | -$1.01 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.810 | $28.6 | -$3.8 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.570 | $26.75 | -$1.75 |
 Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 40 | $0.640 | $26 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 40 | $0.660 | $25.8 | -$0.6 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $25.75 | -$1.25 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.450 |
| $2.25 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 20d ago |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | 20d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.939 | $0.94 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.930 | $0.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.944 | $1.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.900 | $1.38 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.939 | $2.22 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.780 | $2.32 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.920 | $2.36 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.820 | $2.44 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 3 | $0.850 | $2.55 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.870 | $2.74 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.86 | $0.770 | $2.97 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 3.28 | $0.940 | $3.08 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 3.49 | $0.890 | $3.11 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.930 | $3.58 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.900 | $3.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.863 | $3.65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 4.38 | $0.900 | $3.94 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.899 | $4.49 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.850 | $0.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?No | sell | 6 | $0.961 | $5.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.919 | $1.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.970 | $1.98 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.25 | $0.930 | $2.09 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.940 | $2.37 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.820 | $2.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.940 | $2.71 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.800 | $2.38 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 3 | $0.957 | $2.87 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.780 | $2.54 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No | sell | 3.58 | $0.870 | $3.11 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.981 | $3.98 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 4.26 | $0.920 | $3.92 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.994 | $4.52 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.930 | $4.64 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.951 | $4.76 | Jun 27, 2026 |