Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.904 | $47.78 | +$2.57 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down | buy | 40.74 | $0.200 | $8.15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 45.57 |
| $0.928 |
| $43.56 |
| +$1.27 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.910 | $38.5 | +$2.1 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 20 | $0.230 | $16.6 | +$12 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 11 | $0.962 | $10.14 | -$0.44 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.930 | $9.69 | +$0.39 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | Yes | 40.87 | $0.090 | $3.47 | -$0.2 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 99.09 | $0.059 | $2.48 | -$3.37 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.005 | $0.6 | -$1.4 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 107.37 | $0.011 | $0.27 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 61 |
| $0.995 |
| $60.7 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 43 | $0.790 | $33.97 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 43 | $0.998 | $42.91 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 16.99 | $0.994 | $16.89 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No | buy | 45.57 | $0.928 | $42.3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes | buy | 40.87 | $0.090 | $3.68 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.987 | $25.66 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.971 | $22.33 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28 | $0.993 | $27.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)Caio Borralho | buy | 8 | $0.660 | $5.28 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 22.9 | $0.957 | $21.92 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.940 | $26.32 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.985 | $50.24 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.633 | $10.67 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on March 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.987 | $21.71 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.960 | $39.36 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.94 | $0.032 | $2.14 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 498 | $0.318 | $158.36 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.945 | $8.05 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.975 | $13.65 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.904 | $45.21 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 595.06 | $0.002 | $1.19 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11 | $0.962 | $10.58 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bautista vs. NurmagomedovBautista | buy | 17.5 | $0.160 | $2.8 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 272.17 | $0.007 | $1.91 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 107.37 | $0.011 | $1.18 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 33.8 | $0.969 | $32.75 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.963 | $15.41 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 56 | $0.982 | $54.99 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 67.67 | $0.999 | $67.6 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.965 | $12.55 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.010 before August?No | buy | 35 | $0.994 | $34.79 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in July?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.001 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCrawford | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 433.06 | $0.003 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderde Ridder | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?No | buy | 26 | $0.996 | $25.9 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in $TRUMP before July?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.981 | $14 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 15.49 | $0.997 | $15.44 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.960 | $32 | Jun 17, 2025 |