What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: September” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: September Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 20, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met during September, 2025 ET: - Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor - Trump tries to fire Jerome Powell - Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire - Israel x Hamas ceasefire - Zelenskyy and Putin meet - Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+2.png

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($631.94K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 112 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 79.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 4:43 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-september-789) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Nothing Ever Happens: September Final Odds

Predictions Analytics

Nothing Ever Happens: September Final Odds | Vultax

Market referencenothing-ever-happens-september-789Updated Oct 2, 2025 UTC

Closed

Scheduled close Sep 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$631.9K

Scheduled close

Sep 20, 2025 UTC

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 2, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 2, 2025 UTC

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

112

Wallets

112

Top 10 share

80%

Yes / No shares

125.24 / 24.3K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

282

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
satoshiAncap	No	9.72K	9.9%	$9.72K
dontshowmyname	No	5.8K	8.7%	$9.47K

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: September” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: September Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 20, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met during September, 2025 ET: - Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor - Trump tries to fire Jerome Powell - Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire - Israel x Hamas ceasefire - Zelenskyy and Putin meet - Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+2.png
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($631.94K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Jonnywin	$120
Impressive-Socks	$2.56
First-Bitten	$1.39
Golden Signal 1780	$1.28
satoshiAncap	$0
dontshowmyname	$0
emeraldsnake	$0
Username33	$0
kompo	$0
tradingonlyno	$0
azr	$0
hughesinvest	$0