Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.014 | $3.57 | -$1.43 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 134.5 |
| $0.029 |
| $3.16 |
| -$0.68 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 10.82 | $0.185 | $0.54 | -$1.46 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 194.44 | $0.010 | $0.49 | -$1.51 |
 Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| sell |
| 33.55 |
| $0.145 |
| $4.86 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.83 | $0.230 | $5.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.080 | $1.84 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.790 | $1.83 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | buy | 134.5 | $0.029 | $3.84 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be between 13,750,000 and 14,000,000?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be less than 13,750,000?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?Yes | buy | 96.13 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 228.17 | $0.053 | $12.16 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be deported by December 31?Yes | buy | 125.2 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.89 | $0.044 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Yes | buy | 23.07 | $0.043 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 590.41 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.18 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 16.52 | $0.061 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionNo | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |