Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 17 points from 27% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 346 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 41.5% on 16 Oct 2026.
$24.85K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.96K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $921.51 bought Yes and $4.38K bought No.
The largest Yes position is NoPeeking with 505 shares; the largest No position is ImJustKen with 555. Ten wallets hold 80.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 346 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 27.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 555 |
| Krass | No | 540 |
| NoPeeking |
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030. You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier. The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify. The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date. Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count. Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for restaurant workers, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general policy of a $30 per hour minimum wage in New York City by 2030 is enacted. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing:
| Yes |
| 505 |
| Mars47 | Yes | 500 |
| macrosteaks | No | 429.98 |
| Long-Term-Pet | Yes | 400 |
| SkillzThatKillz | No | 362 |
| Critical-Lox | No | 325.47 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 254.54 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 240 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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