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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 13.5K | $0.412 | $3.58K | -$1.98K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | 21d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.8K |
| $0.630 |
| $1.69K |
| -$702.48 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 1.75K | $0.795 | $1.57K | +$176.06 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 1.68K | $0.387 | $881.02 | +$231.89 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 1.23K | $0.500 | $423.32 | -$190.19 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.21K | $0.445 | $403.66 | -$2.36K |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 619.98 | $0.419 | $387.49 | +$127.7 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 329.99 | $0.649 | $295.34 | +$81.28 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 900 | $0.532 | $292.5 | -$186.5 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | Yes | 580.31 | $0.424 | $281.45 | +$35.31 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 400 | $0.512 | $186 | -$19 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | No | 513.34 | $0.407 | $179.67 | -$29.33 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | Yes | 353.17 | $0.388 | $165.99 | +$28.79 |
 Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? | Sinner | 300 | $0.270 | $148.5 | +$67.5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | Yes | 216.65 | $0.489 | $131.07 | +$25.08 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 137.48 | $0.388 | $127.65 | +$74.32 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.300 | $121 | +$61 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 1.44K | $0.170 | $108.32 | -$137.2 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 173.21 | $0.446 | $106.52 | +$29.3 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 231.05 | $0.560 | $105.13 | -$24.26 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.037 | $98.25 | +$42.75 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.260 | $91.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $65.5 | +$40.5 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.046 | $52.5 | +$20.5 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 500 | $0.090 | $47.5 | +$2.5 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.330 |
| $99 |
| 23d ago |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.060 | $6.78 | 23d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 23d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 55.53 | $0.060 | $3.33 | 29d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | sell | 570 | $0.860 | $490.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 115 | $0.130 | $14.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | buy | 626.77 | $0.031 | $19.43 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina MuchovaNaomi Osaka | sell | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | buy | 423.67 | $0.231 | $97.74 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 92.09 | $0.897 | $82.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.500 | $613.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 175 | $0.740 | $129.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.037 | $111 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 33.04 | $0.460 | $15.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No | buy | 51.23 | $0.489 | $25.07 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.488 | $9.77 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.488 | $4.88 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.474 | $14.2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.230 | $1.8 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?Yes | buy | 92.09 | $0.130 | $11.97 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.900 | $990 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | buy | 45.65 | $0.370 | $16.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?No | sell | 213 | $0.070 | $14.91 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.170 | $51 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.270 | $32.4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?Yes | buy | 185.2 | $0.260 | $48.15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.090 | $135 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.600 | $150 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.730 | $365 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.590 | $21.24 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | sell | 380 | $0.600 | $228 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.630 | $819 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | sell | 2.8K | $0.640 | $1.79K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.292 | $58.45 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.036 | $18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 25?Yes | buy | 224.32 | $0.156 | $34.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 24?Yes | buy | 40.26 | $0.330 | $13.27 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.489 | $122.19 | Apr 23, 2026 |