Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 11% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 4 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Dec 2025. $514.51K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maikell7 | Yes | 2.81K |
| JohnCocktoastin | Yes | 2.76K |
| sairaks | Yes | 2.72K |
| carisepatumurah1994 | Yes | 2.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between October 27, 2025, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-venezuela-by
| Weak-Harm | Yes | 2.65K |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 2.03K |
| Zooko | Yes | 2K |
| buchialberto | Yes | 2K |
| Cosmopoli | Yes | 1.57K |
| MrUkrainian | Yes | 1.5K |
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