Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.73 |
| $0.120 |
| $1.77 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.063 | $6.3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.042 | $2.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 22.78 | $0.027 | $0.62 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.078 | $3.9 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.078 | $2.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 184.54 | $0.007 | $1.29 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 65.45 | $0.008 | $0.52 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.060 | $1.08 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.074 | $3.7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.160 | $4.32 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.170 | $12.41 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.037 | $0.92 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.036 | $1.26 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 438.64 | $0.015 | $6.58 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 452.61 | $0.015 | $6.79 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 61.37 | $0.016 | $0.98 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.38 | $0.017 | $0.81 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.056 | $8.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.024 | $6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 137.82 | $0.043 | $5.93 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.065 | $1.95 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.064 | $12.8 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.064 | $3.2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.064 | $19.2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.063 | $18.9 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.070 | $7.5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 200.42 | $0.320 | $64.13 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 108.42 | $0.350 | $37.95 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | sell | 128.33 | $0.034 | $4.36 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.032 | $35.2 | Nov 14, 2025 |