
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 7.2% on 29 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 20 Dec 2025. $87.47K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 45 points · 19 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 1.8% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dismal-Chalice | Yes | 1K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 457 |
| Sydhavn | Yes | 374.35 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 252 |
| wylzub | Yes | 150.59 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 141.98 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 129.96 |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 124.24 |
| Salacinos | Yes | 121.8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "visit" is defined as Maduro physically entering the terrestrial territory of the United States in a voluntary capacity. Whether or not Maduro enters US airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. Entering the United States requires physically entering sovereign U.S. territory, including all U.S. states and territories (e.g., Puerto Rico, Guam, U.S. Virgin Islands). Areas under U.S. control but not under U.S. sovereignty (e.g., Guantánamo Bay Naval Base) do not count. U.S. airspace, U.S. embassies/consulates abroad, and international zones do not constitute U.S. sovereign territory. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-visits-the-us-by-december-31
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