Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 8.85K | $0.113 | $460.45 | -$539.55 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 106.47 |
| $0.939 |
| $105.14 |
| +$5.14 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.055 | $44.55 | -$55.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.120 | $32.08 | -$67.92 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.190 | $31.58 | -$68.42 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 105.93 | $0.944 | $15.04 | -$84.96 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 184.13 | $0.543 | $13.81 | -$86.19 |
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $100 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.055 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.85K | $0.113 | $1K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 106.47 | $0.939 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 184.13 | $0.543 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.093 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 502.44 | $0.199 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.769 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.93 | $0.944 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 749.54 | $0.133 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 287.37 | $0.348 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Down | buy | 901.11 | $0.111 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?No | buy | 82.6 | $0.033 | $2.73 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.570 | $102.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.860 | $23.34 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.510 | $5.61 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.158 | $949.85 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | buy | 195.03 | $0.513 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 196.51 | $0.509 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 31?No | buy | 102.15 | $0.979 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Yes | buy | 565.21 | $0.177 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Yes | buy | 710.2 | $0.141 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.225 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.036 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.88K | $0.240 | $691.39 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed?No | buy | 152.98 | $0.654 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 131.03 | $0.763 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 107.8 | $0.928 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Yes | buy | 341.61 | $0.293 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.88K | $0.389 | $1.12K | Oct 6, 2025 |