Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 28 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 30% on 5 Feb 2026. $352.32K traded over the market's life.
214 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 99.67K |
| x888 | Yes | 20K |
| acal | Yes | 2.57K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-february
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.88K |
| GoNoGo | Yes | 1.35K |
| hereticprayers | Yes | 1K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 947.6 |
| morilun | Yes | 885 |
| Daneezy911 | Yes | 826.61 |
| YilangM | Yes | 484.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
