Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 43.5%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 3 Nov 2025 and the low 47.5% on 10 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 49% on 8 Nov 2025. $20.25K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 1 Nov 2025 – 10 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 59.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hyperlickquid | Yes | 10K |
| d3generategambling | Yes | 361 |
| caymanturtle | Yes | 200 |
| azr | Yes | 180 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on December 10, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by December 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zzh5UbmN6Bg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-december-press-conference
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| JMPP | Yes | 136.75 |
| shitok | Yes | 120.4 |
| Player2088 | Yes | 117.14 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 100 |
| randomGuy2580 | Yes | 100 |
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