Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $4.69 | +$1.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.080 |
| $2.95 |
| -$5.05 |
 Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $2.4 | -$5.6 |
 Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.060 | $1.93 | -$2.07 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.120 | $0.65 | -$5.35 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.100 |
| $5 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 42.66 | $0.047 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?Yes | buy | 11.74 | $0.170 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 63.23 | $0.032 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 74.58 | $0.027 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 31.91 | $0.336 | $10.72 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 17.47 | $0.115 | $2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.69 | $0.242 | $1.62 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.280 | $2.5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.100 | $7.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | sell | 383.52 | $0.003 | $1.15 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.060 | $3.33 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Trump Platinum Card applications open by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.100 | $5.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.25 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.134 | $2.01 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.025 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.025 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | sell | 10.83 | $0.640 | $6.93 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | sell | 10.82 | $0.700 | $7.57 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | sell | 21.64 | $0.700 | $15.15 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 125.72 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 25.59 | $0.550 | $14.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.62 | $0.089 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.028 | $1.77 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.047 | $3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.198 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |