Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 67% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 1 Oct 2025 and the lowest 62.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 80.5% on 2 Sep 2025. $631.94K traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 67.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satoshiAncap | No | 9.72K |
| dontshowmyname | No | 5.8K |
| emeraldsnake | No | 728.8 |
| Username33 | No | 656.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met during September, 2025 ET: - Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor - Trump tries to fire Jerome Powell - Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire - Israel x Hamas ceasefire - Zelenskyy and Putin meet - Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+2.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-september-789
| kompo | No | 595.4 |
| tradingonlyno | No | 454.55 |
| azr | No | 434.78 |
| hughesinvest | No | 416.67 |
| Heavy-Ridge | No | 416.67 |
| Flawlessly | No | 275.34 |
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