Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.240 |
| $1.2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.160 | $5.76 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.625 | $4 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ETDown | buy | 19.76 | $0.450 | $8.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.560 | $8.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | buy | 11.03 | $0.272 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | buy | 17 | $0.300 | $5.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | sell | 19.58 | $0.183 | $3.57 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | sell | 17.92 | $0.200 | $3.58 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ETUp | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.130 | $2.74 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.110 | $1.16 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.100 | $1.11 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.022 | $0.82 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.250 | $9 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.83 | $0.048 | $1.62 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 57.14 | $0.009 | $0.51 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | sell | 13.63 | $0.122 | $1.67 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.050 | $1.69 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.080 | $0.47 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?Yes | sell | 12.56 | $0.020 | $0.25 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.004 | $0.17 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 32.52 | $0.064 | $2.08 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.570 | $3.4 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.56 | $0.239 | $3 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.720 | $3.43 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?Yes | buy | 62.08 | $0.016 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.580 | $10.35 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 30 ET?Yes | sell | 97.56 | $0.055 | $5.34 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 66.83 | $0.045 | $3 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | buy | 68.18 | $0.044 | $3 | Sep 29, 2025 |