Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 8.5% on 9 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 1.4% on 10 Oct 2025. $211.46K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 11 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 8.5% |
| 11 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 3asef | Yes | 18.14K |
| Zaeek | Yes | 7.72K |
| Dayron12 | Yes | 6.98K |
| kiiirazz | Yes | 4.13K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.46K |
| SIMO2025 | Yes | 1.43K |
| camgoz | Yes | 952.38 |
| JonhT | Yes | 640.81 |
| Plain-Jam | Yes | 625 |
| crackedbusdriver | Yes | 594.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
