Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 27 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2025 to 10 Dec 2025, the highest close was 42.5% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.8% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 25.5% on 22 Nov 2025. $105.68K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 27 Sep 2025 – 10 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | 25.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ciro2 | Yes | 1.38K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.12K |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 323 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 23, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Fed cuts twice - Trump announces someone as next Fed Chair - Powell says “Trump” during October Press Conference - Lisa Cook is out as Fed Governor Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/p1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/p2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/p3.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-jerome-powell-edition
| Yes |
| 298 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 249 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 245 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 195 |
| kamarat | Yes | 100 |
| FishyAF | Yes | 99.99 |
| 0xmorpheus0 | Yes | 66.12 |
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