Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 37% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 7% on 13 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 9.5% on 12 Oct 2025. $1.32M traded over the market's life.
175 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 17.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SwampRat | Yes | 29.88K |
| wallfineu | Yes | 20.46K |
| MagicEightBall | Yes | 8.14K |
| alexgamblesonpol | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hengify | Yes | 2.32K |
| sb911 | Yes | 2K |
| 5raid | Yes | 1.54K |
| Spongebob609 | Yes | 1.22K |
| DerSkerAldrigNoget | Yes | 1.21K |
| Diego21svcse | Yes | 1.12K |
