
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 23 Oct 2025 and the low 21.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 45% on 19 Oct 2025. $82.02K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 27 Sep 2025 – 23 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 25 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-september-30
| pillusch | No | 333.33 |
| Valuable-Stranger | No | 324.39 |
| JeanMassturbain | No | 253.75 |
| yummi1111 | No | 207.72 |
| bx420 | No | 166.67 |
| TNivs | No | 166.67 |
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