What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: September” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: September Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met during September, 2025 ET: - Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor - Trump tries to fire Jerome Powell - Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire - Israel x Hamas ceasefire - Zelenskyy and Putin meet - Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+2.png

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

112 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 4:43 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-september-789) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Nothing Ever Happens: September

Market referencenothing-ever-happens-september-789Updated Oct 2, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Oct 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$631.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 1, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 2, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 2, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

112

Wallets

112

Top 10 share

80%

Yes / No shares

125.24 / 24.3K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

282

Loaded notional

$72.76K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+33 pts

Range

62.5% - 99.7%

Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	98.9%	98.9%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	96.3%	96.3%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: September” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: September Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met during September, 2025 ET: - Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor - Trump tries to fire Jerome Powell - Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire - Israel x Hamas ceasefire - Zelenskyy and Putin meet - Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+Sep+2.png
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%

Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC

98.9%

Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC

96.3%