Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sell | 18.22 | $0.999 | $18.2 | Dec 23, 2025 | |
| buy |
| 18.23 |
| $0.649 |
| $11.83 |
| Dec 22, 2025 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 163.72 | $0.065 | $10.64 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.986 | $15.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.104 | $1.48 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.170 | $3.54 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 23.79 | $0.300 | $7.14 | Dec 15, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.09 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 23.79 | $0.336 | $8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.211 | $5.86 | Dec 13, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.292 | $7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Siaosi Pōhiva be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.138 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.075 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 53.05 | $0.189 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.97 | $0.160 | $3.04 | Dec 11, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.22 | $0.220 | $7.09 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Broadcom say "Tomahawk 6" during earnings call?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Broadcom say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 34.27 | $0.999 | $34.24 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 57.14 | $0.036 | $2.06 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 21.57 | $0.510 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Dec 4, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Snowflake say "Europe" during earnings call?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.990 | $10.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Snowflake say "Iceberg" during earnings call?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 17.3 | $0.289 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 34.28 | $0.583 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Leavitt say "Administration" 20+ times during the next White House press briefing?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.520 | $9.45 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Leavitt say "Administration" 20+ times during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.71 | $0.320 | $4.71 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing?No | sell | 20 | $0.907 | $18.15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 34.31 | $0.410 | $14.07 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 49.31 | $0.507 | $25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.030 | $0.98 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.98 | $0.527 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.53 | $0.201 | $2.92 | Nov 30, 2025 |