Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.26K | $0.925 | $1.21K | +$45.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 583 | $0.933 | $543.94 | Jun 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 16.3 |
| $0.921 |
| $16.1 |
| +$1.08 |
| buy |
| 680.14 |
| $0.919 |
| $625.05 |
| Apr 3, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 164.61 | $0.978 | $160.99 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 525.05 | $0.977 | $513.06 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Jayden Daniels win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Justin Herbert win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No | sell | 49.94 | $0.999 | $49.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 270.05 | $0.974 | $262.95 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | buy | 185.11 | $0.983 | $181.96 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 38.89 | $0.952 | $37.01 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 17.6 | $0.906 | $15.95 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get more than 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 25 | $0.961 | $24.03 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | sell | 25 | $0.963 | $24.08 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | sell | 25 | $0.963 | $24.08 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No | sell | 28 | $0.926 | $25.93 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 30 | $0.946 | $28.38 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Respect Moldova Movement (MRM) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | sell | 29.92 | $0.965 | $28.87 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?No | sell | 35.08 | $0.831 | $29.15 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | sell | 34.61 | $0.951 | $32.91 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No | sell | 36.1 | $0.960 | $34.66 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | sell | 30.39 | $0.935 | $28.41 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 45.33 | $0.953 | $43.2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 50 | $0.903 | $45.15 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 John Bolton federally charged by October 31?Yes | sell | 46.88 | $0.251 | $11.79 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.787 | $39.34 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| John Bolton federally charged by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.320 | $0.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates?Democratic | sell | 14.06 | $0.950 | $13.36 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 ETH flipped in 2025?No | sell | 21.54 | $0.941 | $20.27 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?No | sell | 23 | $0.943 | $21.69 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.971 | $9.7 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.858 | $25.74 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?No | sell | 40 | $0.967 | $38.68 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.652 | $42.38 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.653 | $6.53 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.656 | $6.56 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.661 | $3.31 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 2025 September second hottest on record?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?No | sell | 48 | $0.771 | $37.01 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31?No | sell | 18.93 | $0.951 | $18 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | sell | 20.7 | $0.953 | $19.73 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.936 | $5.29 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will STAČILO! get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 29.54 | $0.995 | $29.39 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.829 | $8.29 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will ANO get less than 27% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No | sell | 49.03 | $0.801 | $39.27 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.599 | $29.94 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?No | buy | 25 | $0.963 | $24.08 | Oct 3, 2025 |