Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.120 | $3.5 | -$0.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.609 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.999 | $5.25 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.265 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.720 | $2.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?Yes | buy | 183.61 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 179.77 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.996 | $4.14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Suns vs. HeatSuns | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.186 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 14,000,000 and 16,000,000?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?Yes | buy | 34.33 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Nov 26, 2025 |