Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.8%. Yes opened at 80% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 90.5% on 28 Feb 2026 and the low 6.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 46.8% on 29 Apr 2026. $190.82K traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 12:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 72 points · 6 Feb 2026 – 29 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 80.0% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 46.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gander111 | No | 3.02K |
| Red-Lambkin | No | 2K |
| JasonPunos | No | 1.81K |
| Brilliant-Safe | No | 1.11K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-528
| Harmful-Stylus | No | 444.06 |
| Hihihaha-123 | No | 418 |
| polemole | No | 408.6 |
| Amber Quasar D13C | No | 370.75 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 353.25 |
| PPTmarker | No | 321.4 |
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