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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? | No | 23.43 | $0.626 | $23.04 | +$8.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?No | sell | 19.4 | $0.886 | $17.2 | May 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.180 |
| $8.25 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.160 | $5.75 | -$2.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat? | No | 3.13 | $0.860 | $2.96 | +$0.27 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 8.79 | $0.370 | $2.86 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat? | Yes | 2.2 | $0.790 | $2.04 | +$0.3 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.96 | $0.810 | $0.86 | +$0.09 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 0.76 | $0.690 | $0.64 | +$0.12 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.307 | $0.35 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.032 | $0.28 | -$1.33 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.457 | $0.19 | -$0.42 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3.4 | $0.313 | $0.15 | -$0.91 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 0.38 | $0.558 | $0.09 | -$0.12 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.840 |
| $25.2 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.958 | $38.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?No | sell | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 74 | $0.860 | $63.64 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.230 | $0.52 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?No | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No | sell | 3.66 | $0.840 | $3.07 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?No | sell | 9.97 | $0.750 | $7.48 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | sell | 231.65 | $0.023 | $5.35 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | sell | 244.72 | $0.999 | $244.48 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by April 30?Yes | sell | 273.35 | $0.985 | $269.31 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?Yes | sell | 30.52 | $0.080 | $2.44 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.642 | $192.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 193 | $0.010 | $1.93 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No | sell | 585.62 | $0.219 | $128.35 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 209.07 | $0.260 | $54.36 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 70.52 | $0.571 | $40.27 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.111 | $44.4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.042 | $21 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.971 | $59.23 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 813.1 | $0.023 | $18.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?No | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.21 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No | sell | 3.21 | $0.810 | $2.6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 901 | $0.073 | $65.77 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.420 | $0.72 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.16 | $0.400 | $1.26 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 167.55 | $0.011 | $1.84 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15.17 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.042 | $2.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.803 | $40.14 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?No | sell | 47.43 | $0.061 | $2.89 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.470 | $188 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?No | sell | 84.9 | $0.010 | $0.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.103 | $20.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?No | sell | 21 | $0.010 | $0.21 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 4.82 | $0.400 | $1.93 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.400 | $6.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |