Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.8% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 3.8% on 10 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. $89.65K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 3.8% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheoJoe | Yes | 4.14K |
| maxrg | Yes | 2.06K |
| atthkorn | Yes | 1.7K |
| Sarcastic-Chipmunk | Yes | 1.48K |
| MrVatana | Yes | 1.4K |
| Connornex | Yes | 700 |
| Gaseous-Fiesta | Yes | 671.93 |
| MundoGusz | Yes | 532.78 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 440 |
| xyusdc | Yes | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand officially declares war against Cambodia, or Cambodia officially declares war against Thailand by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A declaration of war must be an official act or statement by the national government of Thailand or Cambodia that explicitly either declares war or otherwise unambiguously describes the relationship with the other state as being in a state of war. Announcements of military action, border clashes, or other hostilities without an explicit declaration of war will not qualify. Only Thailand’s or Cambodia’s national authorities declaring war on the other will suffice . The primary resolution sources for this market will be official publications and statements from the governments of Thailand and Cambodia. A consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm such an act or statement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thailand-x-cambodia-declare-war-by-dec-31
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