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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 2K | $0.100 | $1.52K | +$1.32K |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 297.1 | $0.028 | $8.32 | Apr 15, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 420.77 |
| $0.028 |
| $248.89 |
| +$237.23 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 2K | $0.065 | $46 | -$84 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.059 | $26.7 | -$8.65 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.39 | $0.090 | $10.72 | +$9.43 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 3K | $0.018 | $4.5 | -$49.5 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 150.01 | $0.168 | $2.48 | -$22.66 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 170 | $0.197 | $0.6 | -$32.9 |
| buy |
| 123.67 |
| $0.027 |
| $3.34 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp | buy | 17.41 | $0.100 | $1.74 | Apr 15, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 3K | $0.004 | $12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?No | buy | 588.96 | $0.004 | $2.36 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.006 | $16.28 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 55.14 | $0.230 | $12.68 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 274.99 | $0.401 | $110.34 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $9 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 44.86 | $0.250 | $11.22 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.003 | $0.14 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?No | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $8.96 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No | buy | 127.29 | $0.018 | $2.29 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No | buy | 82 | $0.017 | $1.39 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 950 | $0.002 | $1.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.88K | $0.003 | $5.64 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.170 | $51 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 72.95 | $0.064 | $4.67 | Mar 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 191.81 | $0.016 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 300 | $0.965 | $289.42 | Mar 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 754.88 | $0.008 | $6.04 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.066 | $26.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 278.57 | $0.033 | $9.19 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $11.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 155.8 | $0.046 | $7.24 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | sell | 971.88 | $0.250 | $242.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 2.07K | $0.017 | $35.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 7K | $0.017 | $120.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 10K | $0.018 | $176.11 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 3.55K | $0.033 | $117.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.035 | $175.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 59.03 | $0.036 | $2.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 392.69 | $0.030 | $11.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.025 | $32.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1K | $0.951 | $951 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 65.59 | $0.050 | $3.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.069 | $103.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |