Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 13% on 20 Dec 2025. $40.79K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 22.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Kestrel EBC1 | Yes | 669.55 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 367 |
| Bankmore | Yes | 320 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 270 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public - Trump out as President - Trump impeached - Any Trump cabinet member out Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-epstein-parlay
| vamnizar | Yes | 164.25 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 153 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 126 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 109 |
| Lustrous-Karate | Yes | 90.91 |
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