Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 401.77 | $0.790 | $339.5 | +$22.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 401.77 | $0.790 | $317.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 80.25 |
| $0.810 |
| $70.22 |
| +$5.22 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 66.33 | $0.260 | $6.96 | -$10.28 |
| buy |
| 41.13 |
| $0.080 |
| $3.29 |
| May 5, 2026 |
 Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes | buy | 39.95 | $0.890 | $35.56 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 282.3 | $0.007 | $1.98 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 271.07 | $0.980 | $265.65 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 80.25 | $0.810 | $65 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.14 | $0.918 | $46.95 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.33 | $0.260 | $17.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | buy | 65 | $0.400 | $26 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 261.34 | $0.957 | $250 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Trump-Epstein ParlayYes | buy | 220 | $0.090 | $19.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 220.04 | $0.892 | $196.38 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 3?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.972 | $323.79 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on November 3?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.016 | $5.33 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 331.44 | $0.962 | $318.85 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.080 | $25.44 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.910 | $289.38 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.93 | $0.965 | $15.37 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.003 | $0.96 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.014 | $4.2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.180 | $54 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 299.75 | $0.779 | $233.37 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 21.89 | $0.963 | $21.08 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30?No | buy | 289 | $0.908 | $262.41 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 289 | $0.058 | $16.72 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 197 | $0.774 | $152.48 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.003 | $0.59 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.010 | $1.97 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.190 | $37.43 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.021 | $0.84 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.560 | $33.59 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.320 | $19.2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.019 | $1.14 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 293 | $0.586 | $171.7 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 293 | $0.409 | $119.84 | May 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.995 | $2.48 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.989 | $286.9 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.008 | $2.32 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 295.54 | $0.987 | $291.7 | Apr 23, 2025 |